← Portfolio summary

SWED-A.ST

Swedbank AB, Class A
Nordic Banks
38
RISK / 100
LOW
HIGH RISKMODERATELOW RISK
Last close
373.60 kr
Day chg
-0.3%
Market cap
SEK 420B
P/E
~8x
Rev growth
+4%
Div yield
~8%

12-month price

Indicative · 52-wk rangeEx-div: ~Mar 2027 (annual) · SEK 20.45+
385 kr210 kr

Risk factor breakdown

Valuation
Multiples & price

Reasonable near highs

~8x earningsNear 52-wk high ~385 krBuybacks + dividends
Rating

Buy · B/S 59/100

Covered ~8% yieldPT upside +3%AML legacy overhang
vs Sector medianThisMedian
P/E8x9x
Div yield~8%5.5%
ROE13.3%~13%
Financial Health
Balance sheet

Very well capitalised

Strong CET1 ratioLow loan lossesNordic housing exposure
Profitability

High-quality returns

ROE 13.3%Efficient cost baseNII past its peak
Growth
Top-line

Stable franchise

Revenue +4% YoYMortgage & SME lending steadyRate cuts trim NII
Outlook

Capital return story

~8% dividend, buybacksResilient balance sheetAML/regulatory tail risk

Score breakdown

Valuation risk · 35%38
Financial Health risk · 35%36
Growth risk · 30%40
Weighted risk = Valuation 35% · Financial Health 35% · Growth 30% → 38/100
PAGE 2

Quarterly trend

QuarterNet int. income (idx)Net profit (idx)QoQ
Q3 25101100
Q4 25100101
Q1 2699100
Q2 26100102
Green rows = improving QoQ · red rows = declining. Figures indicative, drawn from reported results & guidance.

Latest earnings / delivery

Solid quarter

ROE held around 13.3% with strong capital ratios and low credit losses; net interest income easing modestly from the rate peak but offset by fees and disciplined costs.

Capital return

A well-covered ~8% dividend plus buybacks; the annual dividend (ex-date ~March) is estimated at SEK 20.45 or higher.

Catalysts vs Risks

▲ Catalysts

  • Continued high capital returnMEDIUM
  • Nordic economic resilienceMEDIUM
  • Cost discipline supporting ROEMEDIUM

▼ Risks

  • Legacy AML / regulatory overhangHIGH IMPACT
  • Falling rates compress NIIHIGH IMPACT
  • Swedish housing / mortgage exposureMEDIUM

Bottom line

Buy · Buy/Sell 59/100 · PT +3%
SELL / AVOIDHOLDATTRACTIVE BUY
The lowest-risk holding in the book: a well-capitalised Nordic bank with 13.3% ROE and a covered ~8% dividend. At 373.60 kr it sits just below a fresh high, so upside is limited and it earns its Buy on income and quality rather than a re-rating. The lingering AML/regulatory history is the main tail risk. It anchors the portfolio against the REIT, rate and crypto clusters.
Generated August 24, 2026. Prices reflect the last completed session (August 21, 2026), sourced via AlphaVantage & web research; some quotes carry data-provider lag — verify live prices before acting. 12-month charts are indicative. Risk score = Valuation 35% · Financial Health 35% · Growth 30% (0 = low risk, 100 = high risk). Buy/Sell weighs current price level against fundamentals (0 = avoid, 100 = attractive). For informational purposes only — not investment advice.